Georgetown Hoyas (#7), 17-13 (8-10)
John Thompson III
Markel Starks: 17.1 Points, 4.1 Assists, 91.2 %Minutes (32nd Highest in the Country), First Team All-Big East Selection
D’Vauntes Smith-Rivera: 16.8 Points, 4.8 Rebounds, 2.7 Assists, 39.3 3P%
Georgetown’s season started with a loss in South Korea to Oregon – and then a loss to Northeastern (KenPom: 200, BPI: 216, RPI: 218) two weeks later. The Hoyas won their next 6 games (including wins over Kansas State and VCU) before losing by 22 points at Kansas. In Big East play, Georgetown started 3-1, but depth began to be an issue with the departure of Josh Smith – and the team lost five in a row from January 15 through January 27. A non-conference win against Michigan State at Madison Square Garden, however, jolted John Thompson III’s squad back to life, beginning a 4-game winning streak. Since then, however, Georgetown is just 2-4. In addition to Kansas State, VCU, and Michigan State, their biggest win was at home against Creighton.
Georgetown’s Road: Wednesday 9:30PM, versus DePaul
Georgetown starts off the Big East Tournament against DePaul. Finishing last place in the conference each of the last six years, DePaul has not won a Big East Tournament game since 2009 when it defeated Cincinnati in the first round. Georgetown is desperate for a win to keep its NCAA hopes alive, and I find it extremely unlikely that DePaul will play the spoiler in this scenario. Expect Georgetown to have little trouble advancing to Thursday night for a rubber match with Creighton.
With only 17 wins, Georgetown will need two wins at Madison Square Garden to give them a shot (a 59.1% chance to make the NCAA field, according to TeamRankings.com). A third win in New York would give them an 88.2% chance to make the tournament field – and obviously, a fourth win would give them the automatic bid.
Georgetown has been a hot and cold team this season – and it appeared that they were on the upswing following a 75-63 win over Creighton on the Hoyas’ Senior Night. But then Georgetown was blown out at Villanova, showing very little life in a nearly must-win situation. Personally, I find it hard to bet on a team that brought such little fight to such a momentous game last weekend. Creighton should beat Georgetown on Thursday night, essentially sending the Hoyas to the NIT.